In Trendcasting, trends can only be extrapolated so far, otherwise their projections are subject to...

GInI’sCInP Handbookdescribes Trendcasting as forecasting future market or technology trends based on current data, a Front End tool for opportunity spotting. However, GInI warns that over-extrapolation—projecting too far beyond reliable data—leads to "gross error" in predictions, as uncertainty compounds over time. This reflects statistical principles (e.g., regression limitations) and GInI’s insistence on grounded insights. Option B, "competitor beating us," is a risk but unrelated to extrapolation accuracy. Option C, "scaring people with scenarios," is a communication issue, not a forecasting flaw. Option D, "more success than we can handle," is an outcome, not a methodological concern. Option A aligns with GInI’s caution, matching the original answer, emphasizing precision in trend analysis to ensure actionable, credible innovation strategies—a balance of vision and rigor.