Based on the CVSS (Common Vulnerability Scoring System) and EPSS (Exploit Prediction Scoring System) scores, Target 1 is the most likely to get attacked.
CVSS:
Definition: CVSS provides a numerical score to represent the severity of a vulnerability, helping to prioritize the response based on the potential impact.
Score Range: Scores range from 0 to 10, with higher scores indicating more severe vulnerabilities.
EPSS:
Definition: EPSS estimates the likelihood that a vulnerability will be exploited in the wild within the next 30 days.
Score Range: EPSS scores range from 0 to 1, with higher scores indicating a higher likelihood of exploitation.
Analysis:
Target 1: CVSS = 4, EPSS = 0.6
Target 2: CVSS = 2, EPSS = 0.3
Target 3: CVSS = 1, EPSS = 0.6
Target 4: CVSS = 4.5, EPSS = 0.4
Target 1 has a moderate CVSS score and a high EPSS score, indicating it has a significant vulnerability that is quite likely to be exploited.
Pentest References:
Vulnerability Prioritization: Using CVSS and EPSS scores to prioritize vulnerabilities based on severity and likelihood of exploitation.
Risk Assessment: Understanding the balance between impact (CVSS) and exploit likelihood (EPSS) to identify the most critical targets for remediation or attack.
By focusing on Target 1, which has a balanced combination of severity and exploitability, the penetration tester can address the most likely target for attacks based on the given scores.
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