Which one of the following statements correctly identifies risks in foreign exchange forwards?
A.
Short-term forward price fluctuations are driven by changes in the spot exchange rate, since most inter-country interest rates differentials are significant, and the effect of compounding is large for short periods of time.
B.
Short-term forward price fluctuations are driven by changes in the spot exchange rate, since most inter-country interest rates differentials are small, and the effect of compounding is small for short periods of time.
C.
Long-term forward price fluctuations are driven by changes in the spot exchange rate, since most inter-country interest rates differentials are small, and the effect of compounding is large for short periods of time.
D.
Long-term forward price fluctuations are driven by changes in the spot exchange rate, since most inter-country interest rates differentials are significant, and the effect of compounding is small for short periods of time.
The Answer Is:
B
This question includes an explanation.
Explanation:
Short-term forward price fluctuations are primarily influenced by changes in the spot exchange rate because the interest rate differentials between countries tend to be small, and the effect of compounding interest over short periods is minimal. This relationship emphasizes that in the short term, the primary driver of forward prices is the current spot rate rather than interest rate differentials.
[References:This explanation aligns with financial theories related to forward pricing and the factors affecting short-term foreign exchange markets​​., , ]
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